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The Science of Conjecture / Franklin, James (2015)

Públic ISBD Títol : The Science of Conjecture : Evidence and Probability before Pascal Tipus de document : text imprès Autors : Franklin, James, Autor Editorial : Baltimore [USA] : John Hopkins University Press Data de publicació : 2015 Nombre de pàgines : 497 p. Dimensions : 24 cm ISBN/ISSN/DL : 978-1-421-41880-3 Nota general : Inlcou Índex, Notes i Apèndix Idioma : Anglès (eng) Matèries : Anàlisi financera -- Models matemàtics Classificació : M71 Matemàtiques financeres Resum : How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. Vista prèvia a Google Books : https://books.google.es/books?id=kDHECQAAQBAJ&pg=PT10&dq#v=onepage&q&f=false Permalink : https://bibliotecatriasfargas.cat/pmb/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=3 The Science of Conjecture : Evidence and Probability before Pascal [text imprès] / Franklin, James, Autor . - Baltimore (USA) : John Hopkins University Press, 2015 . - 497 p. ; 24 cm. ISBN : 978-1-421-41880-3 Inlcou Índex, Notes i Apèndix Idioma : Anglès (eng) Matèries : Anàlisi financera -- Models matemàtics Classificació : M71 Matemàtiques financeres Resum : How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in 1654? What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable? In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates. The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. Vista prèvia a Google Books : https://books.google.es/books?id=kDHECQAAQBAJ&pg=PT10&dq#v=onepage&q&f=false Permalink : https://bibliotecatriasfargas.cat/pmb/opac_css/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=3

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